Recent opinion polls in Brazil reveal mixed sentiments towards President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva’s administration. While some surveys indicate a decline in approval, others suggest an improvement.
According to a Genial/Quaest poll released on Wednesday, the approval rating for Lula’s government dropped to 33% in May from 35% in February. This decline matches the disapproval rate, which decreased by just 1 percentage point.
Despite the overall decline, there are some promising signs, particularly in southeast Brazil, where Lula’s approval has stabilized. In addition, among Evangelical Brazilians, who typically oppose him, there’s evidence of a halt in the decline, as noted by Quaest pollster Felipe Nunes.
Earlier this year, Lula responded to declining popularity by demanding results from his cabinet ministers, indicating a proactive approach to addressing public sentiment.
Lula, now in the second year of his third non-consecutive term, narrowly defeated former President Jair Bolsonaro in the 2022 elections.
On Tuesday, another opinion poll from CNT/MDA revealed a similar decline in approval, dropping to 37% in May from 43% in January. Disapproval also saw a slight increase from 28% to 30% during the same period.
However, a third poll paints a different picture, suggesting an uptick in Lula’s approval ratings. According to AtlasIntel’s survey released on Tuesday, the percentage of Brazilians viewing his government as good or great rose to 43% in May from 38% in March. Meanwhile, those viewing his administration as bad or terrible remained stable at 41%.
The CNT/MDA poll interviewed 2,002 people between May 1-5, with a margin of error of 2.2 percentage points. AtlasIntel’s survey, conducted between May 3-6, interviewed 1,904 people with an error margin of 2 percentage points.
Genial/Quaest, which conducted its poll between May 2 and May 6, interviewed 2,045 people, also with a 2.2 percentage point error margin.
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